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Why Iran Can’t Build a Nuke

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It takes just 50 pounds of enriched uranium to build a nuclear weapon—an amount small enough to hold in one hand. Yet after more than 50 years, Iran still hasn't built a single nuclear bomb, and the reason comes down to the physics of Uranium-235, a stolen Dutch centrifuge design, and the hidden economic cost of a nuclear Middle East.

Nearly 99.3% of natural uranium on Earth is Uranium-238, which cannot sustain a nuclear chain reaction. Hidden inside every thousand atoms are just seven atoms of Uranium-235—the only naturally occurring fissile material on the planet. Separating those nearly identical atoms requires cascades of gas centrifuges spinning at 100,000 RPM for an entire year.

In the 1970s, Pakistani metallurgist A.Q. Khan walked out of a European enrichment facility (URENCO) with the classified blueprints and supplier list for those centrifuges. What began as Pakistan's effort to counter India turned into the world's most dangerous catalog-manufacturing network—shipping centrifuge technology through Dubai to China, North Korea, Libya, and Iran.

In this video, we break down how uranium enrichment actually works, how one engineer became the "Michael Dell of nuclear weapons," and what nuclear wargame simulations show would happen to global oil markets and the Strait of Hormuz the morning after an Iranian nuclear test.

CHAPTERS

00:00 50 Pounds of Uranium

01:07 Who Has Nuclear Weapons

03:11 Uranium Ore & Radiation

05:07 The Game of Atoms (U-238 vs. U-235)

07:40 Why Enriching Uranium Is So Hard

11:22 A.Q. Khan & the URENCO Centrifuge Secrets

18:44 Simulation: If Iran Tests a Bomb

21:36 The Nuclear Black Market

25:12 The $750B Cost of a Nuclear Middle East

28:32 The Nuclear Deterrence Paradox

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